Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000784 0.000895 0.001012 0.001146 0.001293 0.001449 0.001627
2025-02-02 0.000619 0.000776 0.000954 0.001170 0.001421 0.001703 0.002043
2025-02-09 0.000512 0.000685 0.000891 0.001150 0.001465 0.001831 0.002286
2025-02-16 0.000427 0.000608 0.000832 0.001125 0.001493 0.001935 0.002498
2025-02-23 0.000378 0.000567 0.000810 0.001138 0.001562 0.002083 0.002762
2025-03-02 0.000337 0.000530 0.000788 0.001147 0.001623 0.002219 0.003012
2025-03-09 0.000287 0.000476 0.000738 0.001113 0.001623 0.002276 0.003160
2025-03-16 0.000245 0.000429 0.000691 0.001079 0.001618 0.002324 0.003295
2025-03-23 0.000219 0.000401 0.000670 0.001077 0.001655 0.002425 0.003500
2025-03-30 0.000197 0.000377 0.000652 0.001077 0.001694 0.002527 0.003707
2025-04-06 0.000175 0.000351 0.000628 0.001068 0.001717 0.002608 0.003886
2025-04-13 0.000153 0.000324 0.000600 0.001049 0.001724 0.002666 0.004035
2025-04-20 0.000143 0.000315 0.000600 0.001073 0.001796 0.002817 0.004315
2025-04-27 0.000133 0.000304 0.000597 0.001092 0.001860 0.002958 0.004587
2025-05-04 0.000117 0.000282 0.000572 0.001074 0.001869 0.003019 0.004745
2025-05-11 0.000102 0.000259 0.000544 0.001050 0.001865 0.003062 0.004878
2025-05-18 0.000094 0.000249 0.000539 0.001063 0.001918 0.003187 0.005131
2025-05-25 0.000086 0.000239 0.000532 0.001071 0.001964 0.003304 0.005373
2025-06-01 0.000074 0.000218 0.000503 0.001039 0.001944 0.003320 0.005468
2025-06-08 0.000063 0.000198 0.000474 0.001007 0.001921 0.003332 0.005556
2025-06-15 0.000057 0.000187 0.000463 0.001005 0.001948 0.003418 0.005755
2025-06-22 0.000052 0.000178 0.000454 0.001005 0.001978 0.003509 0.005963
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000167 0.000440 0.000996 0.001992 0.003575 0.006134